Spain and Italy will meet for the Nations League semi-finals for the second time in two years, for a chance in the finals. During their first meeting in the semis, it was Spain who won and entered the finals stage. Unfortunately, Spain were not able to win the title, losing in a 2-1 defeat against France. As for Italy, they did not went home just yet, as they were able to battle for the bronze. Fortunately, they bagged the bronze medal, after defeating Belgium in a 2-1 victory for them. The winners of this match will face the winners of the semis match between the Netherlands and Croatia. This meeting will be on June 16, 2023, at 2:45 AM (GMT+8).
These two teams has had quite a history against each other, as they already met for 35 matches prior to this match. From those 35 meetings, Spain is the one at the advantage, winning 13 of those matches, compared to Italy’s 10 wins. From their last 10 matches against Italy, Spain recorded only two losses, which somehow gives them the confidence here. However, in their last five games across all competitions, they only recorded one win. Italy on the other hand has a better momentum coming into this game, due to their recent results. They were able to win two of their last four matches across all competitions, with their losses coming from England and Austria.
Spain
Spain is a team able to improve their games in their recent matches, which is why they are also playing well right now. In fact, they were able to top their group stage, even managing to edge out Portugal, which puts them at the top. However, it is just unfortunate that they are coming into this match from a loss, which could affect their momentum. They suffered a 2-0 loss against Scotland, which is a shocking defeat in their previous game. As this game is an important match, they are aiming to heavily bounce back in this match. Spain will once again try to qualify for the finals of the Nations League, and finally win the title. Spain will now rely to their young ones, as they were able to establish a talented younger players over the past years.
Jordi Alba is expected to participate in this match, after missing out since March, while Fran Garcia is participating in this match as well. However, Dani Olmo remains to be questionable here, after sustaining a muscular injury in training. Moreover, Robin Le Normand is expected to debut for Spain in this match, after being granted Spanish citizenship.
Italy
Italy on the other hand have been nothing but impressive for the group stage of the Nations League. In fact, they were able to overcome England and Germany in their group stage. This alone is a proof that Italy is a strong team as they were able to escape powerhouse squads. Additionally, they were able to score a 2-0 win against Malta on their previous game. As they are once again a step closer to the Nations League title, Italy will no longer let this opportunity pass. They can no longer let another opportunity to pass by them, as they want the Nations League title. Italy is a strong team, after all, they were able to defeat strong teams like England and Germany. Considering their heartbreak last season, Italy is very eager to win in this match against the same opponent.
Unfortunately, they will be without Domenico Berardi, and Matteo Pessina, as both will miss due to their respective injuries. Additionally, Florenzi, Zaccagni, and Baschirotto are also not participating in this match. Fortunately, Ciro Immobile is expected to return to this match, as he is now fit to join the squad.
Prediction:
Spain (2.5)
Odds: -0.94
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